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Re: Fate of Ecash if RSA is cracked?

To: [email protected], [email protected] (Dr. Dimitri Vulis)
Subject: Re: Fate of Ecash if RSA is cracked?
From: [email protected] (Norman Hardy)
Date: Mon, 3 Jun 1996 09:56:35 -0800
Cc: [email protected]
Sender: [email protected]

At 8:01 AM 6/3/96, Perry E. Metzger wrote:
>Dr. Dimitri Vulis writes:
....
>> This'll happen, probably sooner than later.
>
>Why do you assume that? There are plenty of problems that are
>provably not solvable in non-exponential time even if P=NP. What makes
>you think this one is going to be solved?
>
>.pm

The "Idea Futures" forum has established odds on this. The current odds are
currently 60% that a 1024 bit number will be factored by 2010 and 30% that
a 512 bit number will be factored by 1997.

See <http://if.arc.ab.ca/IF.shtml> for Idea Futures and
<http://if.arc.ab.ca/bin/summary> for odds for various questions.

Follow-Ups:
- Re: Fate of Ecash if RSA is cracked?
  - From: "Perry E. Metzger" <[email protected]>
- Re: Fate of Ecash if RSA is cracked?
  - From: Jeremey Barrett <[email protected]>

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