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Re: Imminent Death of the Internet, GIF at 11

To: Martin Minow <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: Imminent Death of the Internet, GIF at 11
From: "Perry E. Metzger" <[email protected]>
Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 12:14:26 -0400
cc: [email protected]
In-reply-to: Your message of "Sat, 07 Sep 1996 10:40:40 PDT." <v03007802ae575f5ed09b@[17.219.103.73]>
Reply-To: [email protected]
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Martin Minow writes:
> For several months (years?) Bob Metcalf has been predicting that
> the Internet will self-destruct from overload. His argument
> appears to follow one of Gordon Bell's maxims: "anyone can predict
> the future: all you need is semi-log paper and a ruler." As I
> understand it, Metcalf's argument is that network load (messages,
> packets) is growing exponentially, while network bandwidth (fiber
> capacity, switch performance) is growing linearly. At some point,
> these two curves cross -- and demand will exceed capacity.

Except for the following.

1) TCP backs off.
2) Capacity is growing exponentially.

Perry

Follow-Ups:
- Re: Imminent Death of the Internet, GIF at 11
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References:
- Imminent Death of the Internet, GIF at 11
  - From: Martin Minow <[email protected]>

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