Re: Y2K clearance sale

[Eivind Eklund <eivind@FreeBSD.org>]

On Sun, Jan 09, 2000 at 06:13:56PM -0000, Anonymous wrote:
> >I estimated it as less than 5% chance of societal collapse, and ~80%
> >chance at passing with minimal problems (like it did) - does this make
> >me a "cretins with miserable cognitive abilities, zero perception and
> 
> Yes. That 5% statement in particular. One can justify any expectation by
> associating 0 < p < 0.5 to it and still appear sensible when it does not
> materialise.

Which just goes to show that statistics cannot be done with a single
datum.

Eivind.